Climate-amplified weather disasters could erase nearly $1.5 trillion in home values: report
Nearly two-thirds of adults in the U.S. own a home. And for most of them, their house is their most significant financial asset. While the country's GDP is about $27 trillion, the residential real estate market is nearly double that at $50 trillion, according to Redfin.
However, a new report finds that those home values could decline dramatically because of human-amplified climate change. According to First Street, a climate risk financial modeling company, the housing market could lose $1.47 trillion by 2055 because of extreme weather events made worse by climate change. The company estimates that 85% of U.S. neighborhoods would be impacted by this decline "due to insurance pressures and shifting consumer demand."
Because of climate and weather damage and risks, the report found that insurance costs are rising much faster than mortgage payments. Between 2013 and 2022, insurance rates went from being around 7% to 8% of mortgage costs to over 20%. First Street also found that if insurers priced the actual risk and costs of these weather disasters into their premiums, prices would be nearly 30% higher.

First Street said Sun Belt states were at the most significant risk of climate-related housing devaluation. Moreover, Texas, Florida and California absorbed more than 40% of the $2.8 trillion in U.S. disaster costs since 1980, the report found.
The analysis identified Miami, Jacksonville, Tampa, New Orleans and Sacramento as the largest metro areas facing the highest spike in insurance premiums. They warned that because of these climate and weather risks, potential buyers may shy away from purchasing homes in certain areas, reducing the value of those properties.
"These findings underscore a fundamental shift in how Americans must now think about housing and community investment," said the report's authors. "The traditional drivers of real estate value—location, economy, and amenities—are being transformed by a new calculus that must account for long-term environmental vulnerability."
-ABC News climate unit's Matthew Glasser